The relation between Dominican Republic and United States is EXCELLENT, and they could be called STRATEGIC ALLIES, with an overall score of 8.88 out of 10.
Chance of conflict between both countries: extremely rare
Head to head: who leads each category
About this relationship
The United States and the Dominican Republic have maintained diplomatic relations since the mid-nineteenth century, a relationship long shaped by American strategic and economic interest in the Caribbean and punctuated by two direct US military interventions, an occupation from 1916 to 1924 and a further intervention in 1965 following the outbreak of civil conflict after the overthrow of President Juan Bosch. Washington's relationship with the long dictatorship of Rafael Trujillo, which ruled the Dominican Republic from 1930 until his assassination in 1961, was complex and shifting, combining periods of tacit support with later US pressure as the regime's brutality became a source of hemispheric concern, while the post-1965 period saw the United States play a continuing, at times heavy-handed, role in shaping Dominican politics during the Cold War. Since the country's democratic consolidation from the late 1970s onward, the relationship has evolved into one of the closest and most stable that Washington maintains in the Caribbean basin.
Economic integration between the two countries is extensive and has deepened substantially since the 2007 implementation of the Dominican Republic-Central America Free Trade Agreement, known as CAFTA-DR, which eliminated most tariffs and cemented the United States as the Dominican Republic's leading trading partner and largest source of foreign direct investment. American firms have invested heavily in the country's free-trade-zone manufacturing sector, tourism infrastructure, telecommunications and financial services, while Dominican exports to the United States span textiles, medical instruments, cigars, cacao and other agricultural products; remittances sent home by the large Dominican-American community, concentrated heavily in New York City and other northeastern cities, constitute one of the Dominican economy's most significant sources of foreign income, reinforcing an economic interdependence that runs through both formal trade channels and diaspora ties.
Security and migration cooperation form a further central pillar of the relationship, encompassing counter-narcotics operations given the Dominican Republic's position along Caribbean trafficking routes toward the United States, joint coast guard and law enforcement coordination, and continuous consultation on the deteriorating security and humanitarian situation in neighboring Haiti, with which the Dominican Republic shares the island of Hispaniola. Dominican President Luis Abinader, in office since 2020 and re-elected in May 2024, has pursued a firmly restrictive border and deportation policy toward Haitian migrants amid Haiti's collapse into gang-driven lawlessness, a stance that has drawn criticism from international human rights bodies but has generally been met with quiet support or measured acknowledgment from Washington given the shared American interest in preventing further regional destabilization and irregular migration toward US shores.
Cultural and social ties between the two countries are exceptionally dense, anchored by one of the largest Caribbean diaspora communities in the United States, extensive tourism flows in both directions, and baseball's status as a shared national passion that has produced a steady pipeline of Dominican players into Major League Baseball for decades, making the sport one of the most visible and continuous channels of people-to-people connection between the two societies. English-language education, US university partnerships, and a large presence of American retirees and second-home owners along the Dominican coast further reinforce this social interdependence, complementing government-to-government cooperation on development assistance, health and education programs long administered through USAID and related agencies.
Through 2024 and into 2026, the relationship remained anchored in this established framework of trade, security and migration cooperation, even as Haiti's spiraling crisis, including the expansion of gang control over most of Port-au-Prince and the international effort to mount a more robust UN-backed security response, kept regional stability at the center of bilateral consultations between Washington and Santo Domingo. The Dominican government continued to position itself as a reliable, business-friendly partner within CAFTA-DR and as a frontline actor managing the humanitarian and security fallout from Haiti's collapse, a role that has kept the country prominent in US regional policy discussions regardless of shifts in the American administration. Overall, the United States-Dominican Republic relationship remains one of deep economic integration, close security cooperation and an unusually dense social and diaspora connection, generally regarded by both governments as one of the more stable and mutually beneficial bilateral partnerships in the Caribbean.
The position in the international influence ranking of United States is 1, while Dominican Republic is situated 118 places below in the ranking (position 119). United States maintains contact with 201 countries, while Dominican Republic maintains contact with 20 countries. United States maintains an excellent relation with 74 countries, while in the case of Dominican Republic, this figure drops to 1.
The Dominican Republic is a country located on the island of Hispaniola in the Caribbean region. It shares the island with Haiti and is the second-largest Caribbean nation by area after Cuba. The country has a population of approximately 10 million people and its capital and largest city is Santo Domingo.
The Dominican Republic has a diverse economy, with major industries including tourism, agriculture, manufacturing, and mining. The country is a major exporter of sugar, coffee, tobacco, and other agricultural products. Tourism is an important contributor to the economy, with millions of visitors coming to the country each year to enjoy its natural beauty, beaches, and cultural attractions.
The Dominican Republic has a democratic government and is a member of a number of international organizations, including the United Nations, the Organization of American States, and the Caribbean Community. The country has a history of political instability and has experienced several military coups and authoritarian regimes, but it has made significant progress in recent years towards establishing a more stable and democratic political system.
Geopolitically, the Dominican Republic is located in the Caribbean region and is therefore influenced by the politics and events of the surrounding countries. It has traditionally had strong economic and political ties to the United States, but it has also sought to strengthen its relationships with other countries in the region and around the world.
Geography & terrain
Shares the island of Hispaniola with Haiti and is the most mountainous country in the Caribbean, crossed by the Cordillera Central (home to the region's highest peak) alongside fertile valleys and coastal lowlands. Tropical climate, wetter in the north and east. Extensive coastline on both the Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean. The interior mountains offer a natural defensive backbone, but the long, resort-lined coastline is highly exposed to seaborne approach.
The United States is a federal constitutional republic comprising 50 states and a capital district. It is one of the world's oldest and most influential democracies, and has a long history of global engagement. Located in North America, the United States is bordered by Canada to the north and Mexico to the south. It has a diverse population and a strong economy, and is home to a wide variety of cultures and lifestyles.
Politically, the United States has a federal system of government, with powers divided between the national government and the states. The country has a presidential system of government, with the President serving as both the head of state and the head of government. The United States has a bicameral Congress, consisting of the Senate and the House of Representatives, which makes and passes federal laws. The Supreme Court is the highest court in the land and has the power to interpret the Constitution and make judicial decisions that can shape national policy.
The United States has a strong, diverse economy that is powered by a variety of industries, including manufacturing, agriculture, energy, technology, and finance. The country is a leader in international trade and has a large and influential military. It is a member of numerous international organizations, including the United Nations and NATO, and plays a key role in shaping global political and economic developments.
Geography & terrain
Protected on two sides by oceans (Atlantic and Pacific), which has made direct invasion effectively impossible since the 19th century. Interior terrain is highly varied — the Appalachians in the east, the Great Plains in the middle, the Rocky Mountains in the west — but none of it has mattered much militarily given the ocean buffers. Climate ranges from temperate to subtropical to arid, depending on the region.
| Government type | Presidential republic | Federal presidential republic |
| GDP | $127.4B | $30.8TLeads |
| GDP per capita | $11.1K | $90.0KLeads |
| Military expenditure | $981.0M | $997.3BLeads |
| Military expenditure per capita | $85 | $2.9KLeads |
| Land military expenditure (estimation) | $539.5M | $279.2BLeads |
| Air military expenditure (estimation) | $196.2M | $339.1BLeads |
| Naval military expenditure (estimation) | $245.2M | $379.0BLeads |
| Nuclear power | No | Yes |
| European Union | Not a member | Not a member |
| NATO | Not a member | Member |
The capitals of Dominican Republic and United States are approximately 2 372 km apart (straight-line distance). There is a standard time difference of about 1.0 hours between them.
Based on shared language, currency, economic profile, borders and international groups, Dominican Republic and United States score a 0/100 similarity index. This is a fun, approximate metric — not a scientific one.
Comparing Dominican Republic's and United States's scores against the same third countries shows where each one has a clear edge. Dominican Republic scores noticeably higher with: Colombia, Cuba, Spain, Mexico, Turkey.United States scores noticeably higher with: Haiti, Taiwan, Italy, Trinidad and Tobago, Israel.
The relation between Dominican Republic and United States hasn't changed recently, and it remains at 8.9.
Score history
Let's suppose a hypothetical conflict occurs between both countries:
In a hypothetical conflict between Dominican Republic and United States, probably, Dominican Republic won't have any partner.
Haiti will participate helping United States.
Initial phase
With both the bigger war chest and the stronger air force, United States is well placed to seize the initiative early, striking key military and infrastructure targets first.
Force composition
United States can also call on significantly more personnel, counting both active-duty and reserve forces. United States's advantage extends to naval power as well.
Ground campaign
Dominican Republic's terrain could make a rapid ground campaign difficult: The interior mountains offer a natural defensive backbone, but the long, resort-lined coastline is highly exposed to seaborne approach. Santo Domingo would likely be a focal point of the campaign: The capital and largest port on the south coast, serving as the country's principal center of government and maritime trade. United States's terrain could make a rapid ground campaign difficult: Protected on two sides by oceans (Atlantic and Pacific), which has made direct invasion effectively impossible since the 19th century. Panama Canal would likely be a focal point of the campaign: Though not U.S. territory, it remains vital to U.S. naval logistics by allowing rapid fleet transfer between the Atlantic and Pacific without circling South America. United States's larger population could also support a prolonged resistance.
Prolonged conflict
United States's stronger economy could help sustain military operations in a prolonged conflict. United States also devotes a larger share of its economy to defense (about 3.2% of GDP), a more militarized posture that could be easier to sustain over time. Occupying Dominican Republic outright would likely prove costly given its terrain.
Overall assessment
United States enters this matchup as the stronger side on paper, with roughly a 90.6% probability of winning. That advantage would still need to be converted into an actual battlefield result against Dominican Republic, which real conflicts rarely guarantee.
Initial phase
United States's team's larger military budget and stronger air power give it an advantage in the initial stages of the conflict, with the ability to target key military positions and infrastructure.
Force composition
United States's team can also call on significantly more personnel, counting both active-duty and reserve forces. United States's team's advantage extends to naval power as well.
Ground campaign
Dominican Republic's terrain could make a rapid ground campaign difficult: The interior mountains offer a natural defensive backbone, but the long, resort-lined coastline is highly exposed to seaborne approach. Santo Domingo would likely be a focal point of the campaign: The capital and largest port on the south coast, serving as the country's principal center of government and maritime trade. United States's team's larger population could also support a prolonged resistance.
Coalition
United States's team goes into this conflict as a coalition of United States and Haiti. Fighting as part of a coalition brings combined strength, though coordinating several countries also adds logistical complexity.
Prolonged conflict
United States's team's stronger economy could help sustain military operations in a prolonged conflict. United States's team also devotes a larger share of its economy to defense (about 3.2% of GDP), a more militarized posture that could be easier to sustain over time. Occupying Dominican Republic's team outright would likely prove costly given its terrain.
Overall assessment
United States's team would be more likely to prevail in this matchup, with an estimated 90.7% probability of winning. Achieving a decisive victory over Dominican Republic's team — let alone occupying it — would likely be more difficult than that headline number suggests.
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