The relation between Afghanistan and United Arab Emirates is NEUTRAL, with an overall score of 5.21 out of 10.
Chance of conflict between both countries: rare
Head to head: who leads each category
About this relationship
The United Arab Emirates and Afghanistan maintain longstanding links involving humanitarian assistance, trade, aviation and diplomatic engagement.
The UAE has provided humanitarian and development assistance to Afghanistan and has played a role in facilitating diplomatic and logistical contacts concerning the country.
Bilateral trade includes food products, consumer goods, machinery and other commodities, while Dubai serves as an important commercial and transit hub for Afghan businesses and travelers.
The relationship is also influenced by Afghanistan's political and humanitarian situation, with the UAE participating in international discussions and relief efforts.
Overall, the UAE and Afghanistan maintain significant practical connections through trade, humanitarian assistance, aviation and regional diplomacy.
The position in the international influence ranking of Afghanistan is 56, while United Arab Emirates is situated 7 places below in the ranking (position 63). United Arab Emirates maintains contact with 58 countries, while Afghanistan maintains contact with 34 countries. United Arab Emirates maintains an excellent relation with 10 countries, while in the case of Afghanistan, this figure drops to 6.
Afghanistan is a country located in South and Central Asia. It is bordered by Pakistan to the south and east, Iran to the west, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan to the north, and China to the far northeast. The country has a complex history and has been a battleground for various powers throughout its history.
In recent times, Afghanistan has been embroiled in conflict for several decades, starting with the Soviet invasion in 1979 and continuing with the civil war that followed. The country has also been a major theater of operations in the War on Terror, with the United States and other countries intervening in the country after the September 11th attacks in 2001.
Since then, Afghanistan has seen significant political and social upheaval, including the rise and fall of the Taliban, the establishment of a new government, and ongoing violence and conflict with various militant groups. The country has also struggled with issues such as corruption, poverty, and a lack of infrastructure and development.
Despite these challenges, Afghanistan has made some progress in recent years, including holding successful elections and making progress on issues such as women's rights and education. However, the country still faces many challenges and will likely continue to be a focus of international attention for the foreseeable future.
Geography & terrain
Landlocked, no coastline. Rugged and mountainous, dominated by the Hindu Kush range, with arid plains and deserts in the south and west. Climate is arid to semiarid, with harsh winters at altitude. Famously difficult to conquer and hold: the high passes and compartmentalized valleys favor local defenders and have worn down successive outside armies over centuries.
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is a federation of seven emirates located in the southeast of the Arabian Peninsula in Western Asia, on the eastern coast of the Arabian Gulf. It is bordered by Saudi Arabia to the west and south, and Oman to the east and north. The UAE has a diverse economy that is heavily reliant on oil exports, but it has also diversified into other sectors such as tourism, finance, and construction.
The UAE is a major player in the Middle East and has strong ties with the United States and other Western countries. It is a member of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), a regional organization that promotes economic, cultural, and political cooperation among its member states. The UAE is also a member of the United Nations and has a seat on the Security Council.
The UAE has a population of about 9.9 million people, the majority of whom are expatriates. The official language is Arabic, but English is widely spoken and used in business. The country is known for its modern infrastructure and high standard of living, and it is a popular tourist destination, with attractions such as the Burj Khalifa, the world's tallest building, and the Palm Jumeirah, an artificial island shaped like a palm tree.
Geography & terrain
Almost entirely flat desert and arid plains, with the Hajar Mountains rising along the eastern border toward Oman. Hot, arid climate with very low rainfall. Coastline on the Persian Gulf to the west and a short stretch of the Gulf of Oman to the east. The open desert offers little natural defense, though the harsh climate and scarcity of fresh water have historically discouraged sustained overland invasion.
| Government type | Islamic emirate | Federal absolute monarchy |
| GDP | $17.8B | $552.3BLeads |
| GDP per capita | $417 | $50.3KLeads |
| Military expenditure | $278.3M | $22.8BLeads |
| Military expenditure per capita | $6 | $2.0KLeads |
| Land military expenditure (estimation) | $222.6M | $8.0BLeads |
| Air military expenditure (estimation) | $55.7M | $9.1BLeads |
| Naval military expenditure (estimation) | n/a | $5.7B |
| Nuclear power | No | No |
| European Union | Not a member | Not a member |
| NATO | Not a member | Not a member |
The capitals of Afghanistan and United Arab Emirates are approximately 1 819 km apart (straight-line distance). There is a standard time difference of about 0.5 hours between them.
Based on shared language, currency, economic profile, borders and international groups, Afghanistan and United Arab Emirates score a 0/100 similarity index. This is a fun, approximate metric — not a scientific one.
Excellent relation (7+/10) with both countries
Comparing Afghanistan's and United Arab Emirates's scores against the same third countries shows where each one has a clear edge. Afghanistan scores noticeably higher with: Saudi Arabia, Iran, Germany, Indonesia, Bangladesh.United Arab Emirates scores noticeably higher with: Pakistan, India, Israel, Canada, Syria.
The relation between Afghanistan and United Arab Emirates hasn't changed recently, and it remains at 5.2.
Score history
Let's suppose a hypothetical conflict occurs between both countries:
In a hypothetical conflict between Afghanistan and United Arab Emirates, probably, Afghanistan won't have any partner.
India and Pakistan will participate helping United Arab Emirates.
Initial phase
With both the bigger war chest and the stronger air force, United Arab Emirates is well placed to seize the initiative early, striking key military and infrastructure targets first.
Force composition
Afghanistan can also call on significantly more personnel, counting both active-duty and reserve forces. United Arab Emirates's advantage extends to naval power as well.
Ground campaign
Afghanistan's terrain could make a rapid ground campaign difficult: Famously difficult to conquer and hold: the high passes and compartmentalized valleys favor local defenders and have worn down successive outside armies over centuries. Khyber Pass would likely be a focal point of the campaign: The main historic route through the mountains between Afghanistan and Pakistan, long used for invasion, trade, and troop movement. United Arab Emirates's terrain could make a rapid ground campaign difficult: The open desert offers little natural defense, though the harsh climate and scarcity of fresh water have historically discouraged sustained overland invasion. Strait of Hormuz would likely be a focal point of the campaign: The narrow chokepoint off the UAE coast through which a large share of the world's seaborne oil exports must pass. Afghanistan's larger population could also support a prolonged resistance.
Prolonged conflict
United Arab Emirates's stronger economy could help sustain military operations in a prolonged conflict. United Arab Emirates also devotes a larger share of its economy to defense (about 4.1% of GDP), a more militarized posture that could be easier to sustain over time. Occupying Afghanistan outright would likely prove costly given its terrain.
Overall assessment
Overall, the numbers favor United Arab Emirates, giving it an estimated 62.6% chance of coming out on top. Turning that edge into a decisive win over Afghanistan — and holding any ground taken — would still be far from guaranteed.
Initial phase
With both the bigger war chest and the stronger air force, United Arab Emirates's team is well placed to seize the initiative early, striking key military and infrastructure targets first.
Force composition
United Arab Emirates's team can also call on significantly more personnel, counting both active-duty and reserve forces. United Arab Emirates's team's advantage extends to naval power as well.
Ground campaign
Afghanistan's terrain could make a rapid ground campaign difficult: Famously difficult to conquer and hold: the high passes and compartmentalized valleys favor local defenders and have worn down successive outside armies over centuries. Khyber Pass would likely be a focal point of the campaign: The main historic route through the mountains between Afghanistan and Pakistan, long used for invasion, trade, and troop movement. United Arab Emirates's team's larger population could also support a prolonged resistance.
Coalition
United Arab Emirates's team goes into this conflict as a coalition of India, Pakistan and United Arab Emirates. Fighting as part of a coalition brings combined strength, though coordinating several countries also adds logistical complexity.
Prolonged conflict
United Arab Emirates's team's stronger economy could help sustain military operations in a prolonged conflict. United Arab Emirates's team also devotes a larger share of its economy to defense (about 2.4% of GDP), a more militarized posture that could be easier to sustain over time. Occupying Afghanistan's team outright would likely prove costly given its terrain.
Overall assessment
Overall, the numbers favor United Arab Emirates's team, giving it an estimated 86.4% chance of coming out on top. Turning that edge into a decisive win over Afghanistan's team — and holding any ground taken — would still be far from guaranteed.
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